Below are some publication highlights demonstrating the impact of our work. A full list of Unit Head A/Prof James Trauer’s publications is available here.


Time for a clear national COVID‐19 strategy. Trauer JM, Marais BJ, Ragonnet R, Savulescu J, McBryde ES. Medical Journal of Australia 2020; 214: 94.

Quantifying the rates of late reactivation tuberculosis: A systematic review. Dale K, Karmakar M, Snow K, Menzies R, Trauer JM*, Denholm JT*. Lancet Infectious Diseases 2020; Accepted for publication. *Co-senior authors.

Role of modelling in COVID-19 policy development. McBryde ES, Meehan MT, Adegboye OA, Adekunle AI, Caldwell JM, Pak A, Rojas DP, Williams BM, Trauer JM. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews 2020; 35: 57-60.

Revisiting the Natural History of Pulmonary Tuberculosis: a Bayesian Estimation of Natural Recovery and Mortality rates. Ragonnet R, Flegg JA, Brilleman SL, Tiemersma EW, Melsew YA, McBryde ES, Trauer JM. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2020; ciaa602.

Heterogeneous infectiousness in mathematical models of tuberculosis: A systematic review. Melsew YA, Adekunle AI, Cheng AC, McBryde ES, Ragonnet R, Trauer JM. Epidemics 2020; 30: 100374.


Profiles of tuberculosis disease activation among contacts of patients with tuberculosis. Melsew YA, Cheng AC, McBryde ES, Denholm JT, Tay E-L, Ragonnet R, Trauer JM. European Respiratory Journal 2019; 54: 1900353.

Profiling Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission and the resulting disease burden in the five highest tuberculosis burden countries. Ragonnet R, Trauer JM, Geard N, Scott N, McBryde ES. BMC Medicine 2019; 17: 208.

The role of super-spreading events in Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission: evidence from contact tracing. Melsew YA, Gambhir M, Cheng AC, McBryde ES, Denholm JT, Tay E-L, Trauer JM. BMC Infect Dis 2019; 19: 244.


The Importance of Heterogeneity to the Epidemiology of Tuberculosis. Trauer JM, Dodd PJ, Gomes MGM, Gomez GB, Houben RMGJ, McBryde ES, Melsew YA, Menzies NA, Arinaminpathy N, Shrestha S, Dowdy DW. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2018; 69: 159-66.

Agent-based models of malaria transmission: A systematic review. Smith N, Trauer JM, Gambhir M, Richards JS, Maude RJ, Keith JM, Flegg JA. Malaria Journal 2018; 17: 299.


Modular programming for tuberculosis control, the “AuTuMN” platform. Trauer JM, Ragonnet R, Doan TN, McBryde ES. BMC Infectious Diseases 2017; 17: 546.

Quantifying the effects of prior acetyl-salicylic acid on sepsis-related deaths: An individual patient data meta-analysis using propensity matching. Trauer JM, Muhi S, McBryde ES, Al Harbi SA, Arabi YM, Boyle AJ, Cartin-Ceba R, Chen W, Chen Y-T, Falcone M, Gajic O, Godsell J, Gong MN, Kor D, Lösche W, McAuley DF, O’Neal Jr HR, Osthoff M, Otto GP, Sossdorf M, Tsai M-J, Valerio-Rojas JC, van der Poll T, Violi F, Ware L, Widmer AF, Wiewel MA, Winning J, Eisen DP. Critical Care Medicine 2017; 45: 1871-9.